Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000888 0.001010 0.001138 0.001284 0.001443 0.001613 0.001806
2025-02-23 0.000689 0.000857 0.001047 0.001275 0.001540 0.001837 0.002193
2025-03-02 0.000594 0.000784 0.001009 0.001290 0.001628 0.002020 0.002503
2025-03-09 0.000496 0.000695 0.000938 0.001254 0.001647 0.002116 0.002709
2025-03-16 0.000421 0.000621 0.000877 0.001220 0.001659 0.002195 0.002890
2025-03-23 0.000371 0.000576 0.000846 0.001217 0.001706 0.002315 0.003119
2025-03-30 0.000331 0.000537 0.000818 0.001216 0.001751 0.002430 0.003343
2025-04-06 0.000293 0.000498 0.000785 0.001203 0.001778 0.002521 0.003536
2025-04-13 0.000256 0.000457 0.000748 0.001180 0.001788 0.002588 0.003697
2025-04-20 0.000239 0.000442 0.000745 0.001205 0.001862 0.002740 0.003971
2025-04-27 0.000220 0.000425 0.000737 0.001221 0.001924 0.002876 0.004225
2025-05-04 0.000197 0.000396 0.000710 0.001207 0.001942 0.002951 0.004399
2025-05-11 0.000174 0.000366 0.000679 0.001186 0.001949 0.003013 0.004559
2025-05-18 0.000160 0.000352 0.000670 0.001198 0.002006 0.003145 0.004818
2025-05-25 0.000147 0.000336 0.000660 0.001206 0.002054 0.003266 0.005063
2025-06-01 0.000128 0.000308 0.000625 0.001174 0.002041 0.003298 0.005182
2025-06-08 0.000111 0.000282 0.000592 0.001141 0.002025 0.003323 0.005292
2025-06-15 0.000101 0.000267 0.000578 0.001139 0.002055 0.003415 0.005498
2025-06-22 0.000092 0.000254 0.000565 0.001137 0.002086 0.003509 0.005708
2025-06-29 0.000082 0.000238 0.000547 0.001126 0.002099 0.003577 0.005880
2025-07-06 0.000072 0.000221 0.000524 0.001104 0.002095 0.003618 0.006012
2025-07-13 0.000068 0.000217 0.000526 0.001127 0.002165 0.003772 0.006315
2025-07-20 0.000064 0.000211 0.000524 0.001142 0.002221 0.003906 0.006589